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Red32
115618.0
177220.2
22439.5
Blue44
138210.3
18608.4
22446.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303301020405060703244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.1
13.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
1382
#12
10.31.0
11.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
18.00.1
8.58.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
1860
#13
8.41.0
11.011.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
9.50.1
9.09.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
2244
#10
6.31.0
9.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End