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Red80
267513.4
115618.0
177220.2
Blue22
26809.6
138210.3
18608.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46300204060808022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.22.6
18.320.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
1382
#12
10.30.7
11.610.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
18.02.6
13.816.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
2680
#11
9.60.8
10.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
13.43.0
11.814.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1860
#13
8.40.7
9.79.0
Auto
Teleop
End