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Red30
15159.6
14387.0
8489.1
Blue10
24295.2
23393.3
16921.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162301020304050603010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.60.9
7.78.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
2429
#42
5.21.0
9.08.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
848
#33
9.11.1
3.54.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
2339
#38
3.31.0
6.35.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1438
#11
7.01.1
5.86.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1692
#44
1.71.0
6.85.8
Auto
Teleop
End