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Red8
70210.7
24190.4
8679.4
Blue28
153811.0
23393.3
26379.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242501020304050828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
702
#15
10.71.4
9.68.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1538
#30
11.00.2
8.89.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
867
#37
9.41.4
12.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
9.80.3
9.69.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2419
#51
0.41.4
2.81.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
2339
#38
3.30.3
5.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End