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Red70
29417.2
8679.4
5896.9
Blue44
70210.7
84211.6
175911.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283201020405060707044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#25
17.22.1
13.615.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1759
#40
11.81.0
12.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
867
#37
9.43.2
8.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
842
#46
11.60.6
10.511.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
589
#36
6.93.2
6.39.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
702
#15
10.71.0
8.79.7
Auto
Teleop
End