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Red56
24295.2
265916.7
162225.3
Blue36
23810.3
183613.6
10475.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions482104060801005636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.6
24.625.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
1836
#49
13.61.0
11.212.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
16.70.9
15.015.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
238
#28
10.30.6
10.010.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2429
#42
5.20.9
4.95.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1047
#47
5.70.9
3.14.0
Auto
Teleop
End