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Red22
69215.3
13516.3
11510.7
Blue38
8529.9
5813.0
9808.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions532204060801001201402238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
692
Unranked
15.31.3
21.320.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
852
Unranked
9.90.6
10.611.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
115
Unranked
10.71.3
17.716.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
980
Unranked
8.20.6
11.612.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1351
Unranked
6.31.3
9.68.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
581
Unranked
3.00.6
4.04.6
Auto
Teleop
End