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Red4
66810.9
8408.8
255118.6
Blue36
7768.7
19217.5
13516.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5233020406080100120140436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
Unranked
18.62.3
22.219.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
192
Unranked
17.50.0
18.218.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
668
Unranked
10.92.3
14.912.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
776
Unranked
8.70.0
8.68.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
840
Unranked
8.82.3
12.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1351
Unranked
6.30.0
8.98.9
Auto
Teleop
End