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Red42
18689.1
19217.5
8408.8
Blue6
167814.5
1149.9
86.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42380206080426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
Unranked
17.50.0
18.118.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
1678
Unranked
14.51.6
16.715.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1868
Unranked
9.10.0
10.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
114
Unranked
9.91.6
12.911.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
840
Unranked
8.80.0
12.512.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
8
Unranked
6.91.6
9.27.6
Auto
Teleop
End