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Red76
159224.3
162535.0
129611.1
Blue50
198625.5
13489.1
199621.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7153204060801001207650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.1
34.434.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
25.50.1
25.525.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
24.30.1
23.823.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1996
#11
21.10.1
21.121.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1296
#31
11.10.2
10.410.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1348
#26
9.10.1
9.19.0
Auto
Teleop
End