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Red64
199621.1
13757.9
115825.8
Blue0
161912.7
22591.1
13612.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46230406080100640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.81.3
20.321.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
1619
#12
12.72.2
10.38.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1996
#11
21.11.6
14.616.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.8
1361
#40
2.42.2
8.36.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1375
#36
7.91.7
8.210.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
2259
#27
1.12.2
7.55.3
Auto
Teleop
End