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Red6
1599.4
13777.3
17859.2
Blue12
161912.7
14107.6
18475.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29240102040506070612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
#30
9.41.9
11.69.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
1619
#12
12.71.0
9.08.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1785
#38
9.21.3
10.39.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1410
#34
7.61.0
8.97.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1377
#16
7.31.9
6.74.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
5.61.0
6.45.4
Auto
Teleop
End