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Red18
66212.3
17648.2
17896.8
Blue0
20837.8
19778.1
20369.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2929020406080100180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
662
#15
12.30.9
11.410.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
2036
#24
9.22.4
9.67.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.20.7
9.68.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1977
#41
8.12.4
6.03.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1789
#37
6.80.9
7.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
7.82.4
13.611.1
Auto
Teleop
End