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Red4
13038.7
14107.6
22591.1
Blue22
20837.8
13398.5
15848.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162801020405060422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1303
#10
8.71.1
10.69.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1339
#25
8.50.4
8.38.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1410
#34
7.61.0
7.06.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1584
#32
8.00.4
8.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2259
#27
1.11.0
-0.1-1.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
7.80.4
9.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End