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Red50
199621.1
135712.2
17896.8
Blue64
140810.8
13489.1
115825.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35390102030506070805064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1996
#11
21.10.7
19.620.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
25.81.3
23.224.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1357
#33
12.21.1
9.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1408
#28
10.82.0
8.810.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1789
#37
6.81.1
5.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1348
#26
9.11.9
6.28.1
Auto
Teleop
End