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Red112
19521.7
17312.8
12628.8
Blue74
27013.5
23613.6
35816.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65380208010012014016011274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#8
28.80.8
28.329.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
358
#34
16.20.8
15.416.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
195
#6
21.70.8
21.222.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
236
#50
13.60.5
13.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
173
#28
12.80.8
12.313.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
270
#7
13.50.8
12.713.5
Auto
Teleop
End