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Red34
16659.5
23716.7
199117.8
Blue14
8396.6
35414.6
9052.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4223060801003414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1991
#35
17.80.3
14.714.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
354
#61
14.60.9
11.610.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
237
#31
16.70.4
16.916.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
839
#46
6.60.9
5.44.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1665
#19
9.50.4
7.77.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
905
#56
2.80.9
8.17.2
Auto
Teleop
End