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Red0
17711.5
13735.8
87017.7
Blue14
8396.6
178413.9
226513.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2631020406080100014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#4
17.72.3
11.49.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
1784
#32
13.91.4
11.510.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
177
#42
11.52.3
8.46.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
2265
#20
13.91.4
14.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1373
#57
5.82.3
7.25.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
839
#46
6.61.4
4.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End