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Red14
22811.3
27013.5
9052.8
Blue8
178413.9
33511.5
13735.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282901020405060148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
270
#7
13.51.3
12.010.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1784
#32
13.91.6
10.18.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
228
#47
11.31.2
12.811.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
335
#30
11.51.7
13.111.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
905
#56
2.81.3
4.43.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
1373
#57
5.81.6
5.03.4
Auto
Teleop
End