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Qual 392008 Connecticut Regional
Red18
7439.6
54914.8
16405.4
Blue72
210410.4
149316.3
199117.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293201020405060701872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
549
#18
14.80.9
12.7→11.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.0
1991
#35
17.82.0
13.5→15.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
743
#62
9.60.9
10.3→9.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.7
1493
#22
16.33.4
11.8→15.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1640
#51
5.40.9
6.0→5.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.0
2104
#23
10.43.4
6.3→9.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—