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Red0
226513.9
252311.5
16873.2
Blue6
7728.0
174010.5
26216.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022040608006

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2265
#20
13.92.4
13.010.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1740
#39
10.51.4
8.16.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2523
#15
11.52.4
6.54.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
772
#49
8.01.4
8.67.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1687
#48
3.22.4
9.67.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
2621
#24
6.91.4
6.65.1
Auto
Teleop
End