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Red80
26216.9
178413.9
12628.8
Blue40
210410.4
71617.7
168518.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3737405060708040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#8
28.82.2
24.927.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
1685
#17
18.80.2
14.815.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1784
#32
13.92.9
8.010.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
716
#60
17.70.2
11.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2621
#24
6.93.6
4.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
2104
#23
10.40.2
10.710.9
Auto
Teleop
End