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Red18
23444.2
23613.6
252311.5
Blue36
149316.3
217010.6
22057.4
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2231010405060701836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#50
13.60.3
14.013.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1493
#22
16.30.5
16.316.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2523
#15
11.50.4
3.83.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2170
#21
10.60.4
4.95.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2344
#58
4.20.4
5.34.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
2205
#55
7.40.5
8.99.4
Auto
Teleop
End