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Red54
199117.8
16405.4
15716.3
Blue90
168518.8
252311.5
19521.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334302060801005490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1991
#35
17.81.0
15.816.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
195
#6
21.72.4
18.821.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
157
#12
16.31.4
14.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1685
#17
18.83.8
15.118.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1640
#51
5.41.5
3.95.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
2523
#15
11.53.8
7.711.5
Auto
Teleop
End