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Red4
20647.9
168518.8
55814.5
Blue20
123017.9
9052.8
16659.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2825010204050607080420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1685
#17
18.82.0
9.77.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1230
#11
17.90.5
8.98.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
#44
14.52.0
10.58.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1665
#19
9.50.5
8.27.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2064
#37
7.92.0
7.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
905
#56
2.80.5
8.68.1
Auto
Teleop
End