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Red68
10037.0
41815.4
85813.7
Blue100
36834.9
30418.3
23730.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5074020406010012014068100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#14
37.00.8
28.429.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
368
#4
34.91.5
32.634.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
418
#63
15.40.9
15.416.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
237
#27
30.61.5
25.927.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
858
#16
13.71.1
9.110.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
304
#5
18.31.5
12.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End