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Red44
52711.5
217133.1
198915.6
Blue26
173214.7
203810.4
252013.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6640020801001201404426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2171
#33
33.10.9
34.033.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.3
1732
#56
14.70.9
14.813.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1989
#44
15.60.9
18.217.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2520
#70
13.80.9
13.812.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
527
#42
11.50.9
10.59.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2038
#73
10.40.9
14.914.0
Auto
Teleop
End