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Red100
8618.4
23730.6
39526.5
Blue144
1634.5
5719.3
6749.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66100050150200100144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#27
30.61.5
29.030.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.6
67
#3
49.22.4
47.349.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
395
#28
26.51.5
25.126.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
16
#15
34.52.4
31.834.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
86
#26
18.41.5
16.317.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
57
#47
19.32.4
16.819.2
Auto
Teleop
End