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Red68
159910.8
110212.2
24297.8
Blue2
90314.2
203810.4
24109.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214306080100120682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#51
12.22.2
10.012.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
903
#77
14.21.9
16.114.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1599
#71
10.82.2
8.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2038
#73
10.41.9
12.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2429
#58
7.82.2
5.67.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2410
#72
9.51.9
11.39.5
Auto
Teleop
End