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Red30
174413.2
80118.9
4089.4
Blue50
155710.5
139012.4
164913.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302301040506070803050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#15
18.90.0
15.615.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
13.72.1
10.112.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1744
#25
13.20.0
6.86.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1390
#48
12.42.1
7.910.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
408
#49
9.40.0
7.17.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1557
#47
10.52.1
6.28.4
Auto
Teleop
End