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Red22
256412.8
25626.9
80913.2
Blue6
24221.9
25696.4
18849.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19200103040226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
809
#26
13.20.2
5.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1884
#34
9.91.1
9.07.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2564
#20
12.80.2
7.67.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
2569
#21
6.41.1
5.24.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2562
#36
6.90.2
6.87.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
2422
#59
1.91.1
4.83.8
Auto
Teleop
End