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Red76
159219.5
106519.9
84514.4
Blue42
74415.4
139012.4
80913.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49290204060801001207642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.92.5
13.015.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
744
#42
15.40.9
11.112.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
19.52.5
19.722.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
809
#26
13.20.9
8.59.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
845
#32
14.42.5
13.816.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1390
#48
12.40.9
11.912.8
Auto
Teleop
End