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Red2
152313.4
25686.7
25696.4
Blue0
256310.7
174413.2
25654.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283001020405020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.42.2
12.910.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1744
#25
13.22.5
12.610.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2568
#35
6.72.2
9.87.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
2563
#43
10.72.5
11.08.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2569
#21
6.42.2
6.03.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
2565
#57
4.42.5
6.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End