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Red62
187213.1
256310.7
25696.4
Blue32
25686.7
18758.1
134514.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21290104050606232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1872
#18
13.13.3
10.213.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1345
#10
14.80.3
13.713.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2563
#43
10.73.3
8.511.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1875
#46
8.10.3
7.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2569
#21
6.43.3
3.87.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2568
#35
6.70.3
7.67.9
Auto
Teleop
End