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Red56
31216.5
139012.4
2113.2
Blue102
10334.9
7933.9
80412.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3277020406010012014056102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
312
#28
16.51.4
15.216.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.4
103
#11
34.91.5
31.833.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21
#39
13.21.5
11.613.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.7
79
#3
33.92.4
30.232.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1390
#48
12.41.5
10.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
804
#40
12.32.5
9.712.3
Auto
Teleop
End