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Red102
10334.9
10821.0
39512.2
Blue114
6928.0
34218.4
17923.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6566405060708090100110102114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#11
34.90.6
34.334.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
69
#6
28.01.2
26.727.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
108
#1
21.00.6
20.421.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
179
#13
23.01.2
21.722.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
395
#53
12.20.9
11.312.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
342
#41
18.41.2
17.118.3
Auto
Teleop
End