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Red32
18486.5
19999.7
23627.8
Blue40
141416.6
126115.6
177112.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162901020405060703240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1999
#15
9.71.2
7.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
16.61.0
11.312.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2362
#42
7.81.2
5.26.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
15.61.0
10.811.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1848
#41
6.51.2
4.25.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
1771
#21
12.51.0
5.66.6
Auto
Teleop
End