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Red20
264011.9
11279.7
26557.3
Blue42
161211.2
20389.7
211911.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261701030405060702042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2640
#27
11.90.4
8.37.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2119
#10
11.52.0
8.310.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
9.70.4
9.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1612
#20
11.22.0
5.37.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2655
#24
7.30.4
7.77.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
2038
#13
9.72.0
4.96.8
Auto
Teleop
End