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Red20
2819.5
14158.9
5386.7
Blue42
24158.3
12879.0
20389.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322304060801002042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#19
9.50.9
11.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2038
#13
9.71.5
9.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1415
#32
8.90.9
11.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1287
#17
9.01.5
7.69.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
538
#33
6.70.9
7.76.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
2415
#23
8.31.5
6.98.5
Auto
Teleop
End