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Red60
141416.6
161211.2
168312.5
Blue0
24639.7
23933.1
18771.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30170406080600

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.62.4
13.315.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
2463
#12
9.71.5
11.29.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1683
#25
12.52.4
7.09.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
2393
#31
3.11.5
4.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1612
#20
11.22.4
8.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
1877
#36
1.41.6
3.01.4
Auto
Teleop
End