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Red0
168312.5
13983.7
17882.9
Blue4
24202.7
211911.5
5386.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292602040608004

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#25
12.52.4
10.17.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2119
#10
11.51.9
8.06.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1398
#45
3.72.4
10.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
538
#33
6.71.9
10.48.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1788
#30
2.92.4
8.66.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2420
#43
2.73.2
2.75.9
Auto
Teleop
End