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Red40
26557.3
18771.4
14158.9
Blue6
18486.5
4428.8
10573.3
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21280406080100406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1415
#32
8.91.5
6.07.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
442
#44
8.81.4
10.59.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2655
#24
7.32.0
7.39.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1848
#41
6.51.7
7.15.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1877
#36
1.41.5
7.99.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1057
#28
3.31.7
9.17.4
Auto
Teleop
End