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Red116
19525.9
121212.9
23420.4
Blue74
45716.8
7025.8
103818.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5760010020030040050060070080011674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
25.92.9
24.127.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
70
#34
25.80.7
28.629.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
234
#35
20.42.9
22.225.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1038
#66
18.71.0
15.716.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1212
#58
12.94.2
11.415.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
457
#74
16.81.0
14.915.9
Auto
Teleop
End