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Red40
254915.9
246811.8
154027.7
Blue92
235410.2
248719.9
206226.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655402040801001204092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#49
27.71.2
26.225.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2062
#33
26.21.8
26.728.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2549
#75
15.91.6
19.117.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
2487
#42
19.92.0
18.320.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2468
#85
11.81.3
18.216.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2354
#59
10.22.2
10.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End