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Red58
175812.9
243713.3
173910.6
Blue30
254915.9
235410.2
12548.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344102060801001205830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2437
#41
13.31.2
14.815.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
2549
#75
15.90.6
17.617.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1758
#53
12.91.2
11.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
2354
#59
10.20.5
12.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1739
#37
10.61.2
8.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1254
#79
8.80.6
9.58.9
Auto
Teleop
End