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Red30
26214.3
171734.9
136611.2
Blue58
167618.6
248719.9
181618.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57573040507080903058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.91.3
35.634.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.0
2487
#42
19.90.0
21.321.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1366
#86
11.21.5
14.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
1676
#18
18.60.0
17.317.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2621
#84
4.31.5
6.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.0
1816
#40
18.30.0
18.818.8
Auto
Teleop
End