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Red110
2731.5
46934.2
164613.2
Blue48
6822.3
24519.7
6521.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826105010015011048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#15
34.20.5
34.535.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
68
#27
22.30.3
22.622.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
27
#3
31.50.5
31.732.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
65
#6
21.40.3
21.721.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1646
#21
13.20.5
13.514.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
245
#37
19.70.3
19.919.7
Auto
Teleop
End