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Red48
173211.1
171831.3
19418.9
Blue6
199817.2
174714.1
13228.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4630020406080486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.2
25.425.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
1998
#24
17.21.5
12.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1732
#29
11.10.3
7.88.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
1747
#13
14.11.6
10.48.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1941
#46
8.90.3
10.911.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1322
#57
8.32.2
9.16.9
Auto
Teleop
End