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Red24
25766.5
89415.6
164613.2
Blue12
102312.5
28010.0
159610.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223301040506070802412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#12
15.60.0
8.48.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1023
#40
12.51.6
11.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1646
#21
13.20.0
10.410.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1596
#26
10.71.2
6.35.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2576
#55
6.50.0
4.74.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
280
#36
10.01.6
13.612.0
Auto
Teleop
End