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Red74
46112.8
21741.7
10718.2
Blue86
4730.4
6620.4
6740.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738302040601001201401607486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#16
41.70.0
42.042.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
67
#8
40.10.2
34.034.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
107
#7
18.20.0
19.019.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
47
#2
30.40.2
28.728.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
461
#62
12.80.0
13.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
66
#1
20.40.2
18.719.0
Auto
Teleop
End